tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Grand Rapids via Chicago: arrives on time 41%

  1. 18:36 MSP → 20:20 ORD
    UA 1237 · United · 1h 40m · 49% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 ORD → 23:57 GRR
    UA 5303 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 17m · 67% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Rapids is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 21mMSP 18:36 to GRR 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.