tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Des Moines via Chicago: arrives on time 33%

  1. 18:36 MSP → 20:20 ORD
    UA 1237 · United · 1h 40m · 49% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 ORD → 22:56 DSM
    UA 1839 · United · 1h 31m · 60% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 20mMSP 18:36 to DSM 22:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.