tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 36%

  1. 18:36 MSP → 20:20 ORD
    UA 1237 · United · 1h 40m · 49% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:29 ORD → 23:56 TVC
    UA 2071 · United · 1h 27m · 63% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Traverse City is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 20mMSP 18:36 to TVC 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.