tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Jacksonville via Newark: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 09:40 EWR
    UA 1246 · United · 2h 40m · 94% on time, 10.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:01 EWR → 15:42 JAX
    UA 2678 · United · 2h 41m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (10.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 42mMSP 06:00 to JAX 15:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.