Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → St Louis via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 10:31 IAD → 11:53 ORD
    UA 1252 · United · 2h 22m · 92% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:55 ORD → 14:23 STL
    UA 4581 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 28m · 80% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 52mIAD 10:31 to STL 14:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.