tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Providence via Chicago: arrives on time 73%

  1. 10:31 IAD → 11:53 ORD
    UA 1252 · United · 2h 22m · 92% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:40 ORD → 17:11 PVD
    AA 3771 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 30m · 84% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 39mIAD 10:31 to PVD 17:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.