tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 57%

  1. 10:31 IAD → 11:53 ORD
    UA 1252 · United · 2h 22m · 92% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 ORD → 16:22 LGA
    UA 2189 · United · 2h 22m · 65% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 51mIAD 10:31 to LGA 16:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.