Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Dulles → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 64%
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10:31 IAD → 11:53 ORDUA 1252 · United · 2h 22m · 92% on time, 0.8% cancelled
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47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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12:40 ORD → 14:20 MSPUA 2749 · United · 1h 40m · 78% on time, 2.7% cancelled
Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 49mIAD 10:31 to MSP 14:20, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.