tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Kansas City via Chicago: arrives on time 67%

  1. 10:31 IAD → 11:53 ORD
    UA 1252 · United · 2h 22m · 92% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:40 ORD → 14:20 MCI
    UA 561 · United · 1h 40m · 80% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 49mIAD 10:31 to MCI 14:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.