tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Houston via Denver: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:30 BNA → 19:36 DEN
    UA 1268 · United · 3h 06m · 40% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:28 DEN → 23:59 IAH
    UA 2419 · United · 2h 31m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 29mBNA 17:30 to IAH 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.