tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Aspen via Denver: arrives on time 35%

  1. 16:50 DFW → 18:20 DEN
    UA 1303 · United · 2h 30m · 59% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 DEN → 20:11 ASE
    UA 5779 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 01m · 68% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Aspen is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 21mDFW 16:50 to ASE 20:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.