tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Dulles via Denver: arrives on time 40%

  1. 16:50 DFW → 18:20 DEN
    UA 1303 · United · 2h 30m · 59% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:13 DEN → 00:45 IAD +1 day
    UA 1412 · United · 3h 32m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 55mDFW 16:50 to IAD 00:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.