Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Bozeman via Chicago: arrives on time 55%
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10:15 LGA → 11:57 ORDUA 1310 · United · 2h 42m · 80% on time, 2.5% cancelled
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48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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12:45 ORD → 15:13 BZNUA 623 · United · 3h 28m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 2 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 58mLGA 10:15 to BZN 15:13, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.