tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Antonio → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 24%

  1. 17:32 SAT → 20:33 ORD
    UA 1316 · United · 3h 01m · 58% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ORD → 23:54 DTW
    UA 3475 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 34m · 76% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of San Antonio). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 22mSAT 17:32 to DTW 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.