Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Washington → Columbia via Chicago: arrives on time 44%
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15:30 DCA → 16:52 ORDUA 1325 · United · 2h 22m · 66% on time, 4.7% cancelled
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1h 03m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:55 ORD → 21:16 CAEUA 4478 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 21m · 73% on time, 6.9% cancelled
Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 46mDCA 15:30 to CAE 21:16, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.