tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Chattanooga via Chicago: arrives on time 36%

  1. 15:30 DCA → 16:52 ORD
    UA 1325 · United · 2h 22m · 66% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 ORD → 20:49 CHA
    UA 4507 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 59m · 64% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 19mDCA 15:30 to CHA 20:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.