tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Manchester via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 15:30 DCA → 16:52 ORD
    UA 1325 · United · 2h 22m · 66% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:11 ORD → 23:30 MHT
    AA 4149 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 31m · 84% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 12mDCA 15:30 to MHT 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.