tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 40%

  1. 15:30 DCA → 16:52 ORD
    UA 1325 · United · 2h 22m · 66% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 ORD → 20:50 IAH
    UA 1954 · United · 3h 05m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 20mDCA 15:30 to IAH 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.