tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Chicago via Newark: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 SRQ → 08:53 EWR
    UA 1343 · United · 2h 53m · 94% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:24 EWR → 12:06 ORD
    UA 1525 · United · 2h 42m · 79% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 06mSRQ 06:00 to ORD 12:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.