tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Columbia via Dulles: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:22 IAD
    UA 1366 · United · 1h 22m · 96% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:15 IAD → 09:56 CAE
    UA 4818 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 41m · 81% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip3h 56mEWR 06:00 to CAE 09:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.