tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Hebron via Dulles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:22 IAD
    UA 1366 · United · 1h 22m · 96% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 IAD → 10:45 CVG
    UA 4487 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 45m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 45mEWR 06:00 to CVG 10:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.