tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Chicago via Dulles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:22 IAD
    UA 1366 · United · 1h 22m · 96% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 09m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:31 IAD → 11:53 ORD
    UA 1252 · United · 2h 22m · 92% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 09m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 53mEWR 06:00 to ORD 11:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.