tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Raleigh/Durham via Dulles: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:22 IAD
    UA 1366 · United · 1h 22m · 96% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:21 IAD → 09:34 RDU
    UA 529 · United · 1h 13m · 69% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 3h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip3h 34mEWR 06:00 to RDU 09:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.