tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Detroit via Dulles: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:22 IAD
    UA 1366 · United · 1h 22m · 96% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 IAD → 10:14 DTW
    UA 6137 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 39m · 90% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 14mEWR 06:00 to DTW 10:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.