tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Buffalo via Dulles: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:22 IAD
    UA 1366 · United · 1h 22m · 96% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 IAD → 09:51 BUF
    UA 3514 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 97% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip 3h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip3h 51mEWR 06:00 to BUF 09:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.