tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Dayton via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 DEN → 09:42 ORD
    UA 1377 · United · 2h 42m · 89% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:10 ORD → 15:35 DAY
    AA 5008 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 79% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dayton is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 35mDEN 06:00 to DAY 15:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.