tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Tampa via Dulles: arrives on time 81%

  1. 08:00 MSY → 11:33 IAD
    UA 1392 · United · 2h 33m · 93% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:49 IAD → 15:15 TPA
    UA 2277 · United · 2h 26m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 15mMSY 08:00 to TPA 15:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.