tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

West Palm Beach → Detroit via Newark: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:15 PBI → 20:15 EWR
    UA 1395 · United · 3h 00m · 61% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:22 EWR → 23:30 DTW
    UA 3412 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 09m · 75% on time, 9.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (9.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 16mPBI 17:15 to DTW 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.