tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Raleigh/Durham via Newark: arrives on time 23%

  1. 13:46 IAH → 18:30 EWR
    UA 1397 · United · 3h 44m · 74% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 EWR → 21:10 RDU
    UA 1233 · United · 1h 50m · 40% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip6h 24mIAH 13:46 to RDU 21:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.