tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 36%

  1. 16:30 SRQ → 18:46 ORD
    UA 1400 · United · 3h 16m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:57 ORD → 21:45 BNA
    UA 2063 · United · 1h 48m · 51% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip6h 15mSRQ 16:30 to BNA 21:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.