Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 34%

  1. 11:23 DSM → 13:03 ORD
    UA 1410 · United · 1h 40m · 68% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 ORD → 17:12 DCA
    UA 1314 · United · 2h 12m · 56% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip4h 49mDSM 11:23 to DCA 17:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.