Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Eugene via San Francisco: arrives on time 23%

  1. 13:16 PHX → 15:19 SFO
    UA 1427 · United · 2h 03m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:10 SFO → 17:56 EUG
    UA 5604 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 46m · 57% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 40mPHX 13:16 to EUG 17:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.