tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Santa Barbara via Los Angeles: arrives on time 84%

  1. 18:45 SFO → 20:29 LAX
    UA 1427 · United · 1h 44m · 83% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:44 LAX → 23:44 SBA
    UA 4796 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 59mSFO 18:45 to SBA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.