tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Redmond via Los Angeles: arrives on time 71%

  1. 18:45 SFO → 20:29 LAX
    UA 1427 · United · 1h 44m · 83% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 LAX → 23:35 RDM
    UA 5662 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 15m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 50mSFO 18:45 to RDM 23:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.