Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Portland via San Francisco: arrives on time 20%

  1. 19:59 MCI → 21:50 SFO
    UA 1429 · United · 3h 51m · 24% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:52 SFO → 00:50 PDX +1 day
    UA 2384 · United · 1h 58m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection27%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 73% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (27%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 51mMCI 19:59 to PDX 00:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.