tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New York via Denver: arrives on time 92%

  1. 16:10 SFO → 20:01 DEN
    UA 1430 · United · 2h 51m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 58m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:59 DEN → 05:48 JFK +1 day
    DL 758 · Delta · 3h 49m · 95% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 58m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip10h 38mSFO 16:10 to JFK 05:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.