tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → San Francisco via Dulles: arrives on time 53%

  1. 18:30 BNA → 21:23 IAD
    UA 1460 · United · 1h 53m · 66% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:21 IAD → 01:15 SFO +1 day
    UA 367 · United · 5h 54m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 45mBNA 18:30 to SFO 01:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.