tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Omaha → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 47%

  1. 18:40 OMA → 20:34 ORD
    UA 1476 · United · 1h 54m · 63% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 ORD → 00:57 PHL +1 day
    UA 1744 · United · 2h 12m · 74% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Omaha). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 17mOMA 18:40 to PHL 00:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.