tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Palm Springs via San Francisco: arrives on time 46%

  1. 10:29 SEA → 12:47 SFO
    UA 1482 · United · 2h 18m · 71% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 SFO → 15:26 PSP
    UA 5312 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 46m · 72% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 57mSEA 10:29 to PSP 15:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.