Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Seattle → Santa Barbara via San Francisco: arrives on time 50%
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10:29 SEA → 12:47 SFOUA 1482 · United · 2h 18m · 71% on time, 0.4% cancelled
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1h 03m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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13:50 SFO → 15:17 SBAUA 5464 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 70% on time, 1.7% cancelled
Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 48mSEA 10:29 to SBA 15:17, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.