tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:15 TVC → 07:42 ORD
    UA 1486 · United · 1h 27m · 86% on time, 5.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 ORD → 12:23 LGA
    UA 709 · United · 2h 23m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (5.1% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 08mTVC 07:15 to LGA 12:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.