tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 23:40 PDX → 05:45 ORD
    UA 1490 · United · 4h 05m · 89% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:10 ORD → 10:30 EWR +1 day
    UA 563 · United · 2h 20m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip7h 50mPDX 23:40 to EWR 10:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.