Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Dulles → Nashville via Newark: arrives on time 46%
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12:35 IAD → 14:01 EWRUA 1498 · United · 1h 26m · 69% on time, 5.6% cancelled
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59m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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15:00 EWR → 16:32 BNAUA 1608 · United · 2h 32m · 72% on time, 1.9% cancelled
Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 57mIAD 12:35 to BNA 16:32, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.