Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Kansas City via Newark: arrives on time 29%

  1. 17:45 TPA → 20:36 EWR
    UA 1501 · United · 2h 51m · 49% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:43 EWR → 23:59 MCI
    UA 1399 · United · 3h 16m · 59% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 14mTPA 17:45 to MCI 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.