Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Chicago → Newark via Cleveland: arrives on time 46%
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14:20 ORD → 16:54 CLEUA 1502 · United · 1h 34m · 79% on time, 2.1% cancelled
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48m layover in Cleveland (CLE) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:42 CLE → 19:30 EWRUA 3633 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 48m · 80% on time, 6.7% cancelled
Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 10mORD 14:20 to EWR 19:30, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.