Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Norfolk via Chicago: arrives on time 33%
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15:25 LGA → 17:20 ORDUA 1504 · United · 2h 55m · 61% on time, 4.9% cancelled
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55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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18:15 ORD → 21:37 ORFUA 1178 · United · 2h 22m · 63% on time, 2.8% cancelled
Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 12mLGA 15:25 to ORF 21:37, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.