Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Buffalo via Chicago: arrives on time 36%
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15:25 LGA → 17:20 ORDUA 1504 · United · 2h 55m · 61% on time, 4.9% cancelled
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57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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18:17 ORD → 21:03 BUFUA 1335 · United · 1h 46m · 66% on time, 1.6% cancelled
Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 38mLGA 15:25 to BUF 21:03, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.