Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Los Angeles via Chicago: arrives on time 32%
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15:25 LGA → 17:20 ORDUA 1504 · United · 2h 55m · 61% on time, 4.9% cancelled
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50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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18:10 ORD → 20:40 LAXUA 1967 · United · 4h 30m · 69% on time, 0.9% cancelled
Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip8h 15mLGA 15:25 to LAX 20:40, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.