Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Jacksonville via Chicago: arrives on time 38%
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15:25 LGA → 17:20 ORDUA 1504 · United · 2h 55m · 61% on time, 4.9% cancelled
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59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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18:19 ORD → 21:59 JAXUA 2443 · United · 2h 40m · 66% on time, 0.4% cancelled
Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 34mLGA 15:25 to JAX 21:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.