tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Nashville via Denver: arrives on time 60%

  1. 15:25 SDF → 16:24 DEN
    UA 1510 · United · 2h 59m · 80% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 DEN → 21:13 BNA
    UA 1300 · United · 2h 43m · 74% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 48mSDF 15:25 to BNA 21:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.